The January 13 Watershed
Geoeconomic Weaponization and the Strategic Roadmap for Iranian Regime Transition Executive Summary January 13, 2026, is regarded as a “strategic watershed” in Middle Eastern geopolitics. On this day, U.S. President Donald Trump not only transformed Iran’s domestic issues into a global economic and trade survival choice through a “25% tariff,” but also signaled a shift […]
Widespread Protests Rock Iran: Economic Crisis Morphs into Political Challenge to Clerical Rule
TEHRAN, Iran – January 6, 2026 – A new wave of mass protests, initially sparked by a deepening economic crisis, has rapidly escalated into a nationwide political challenge to the Islamic Republic, marking the most significant unrest since the 2022 Mahsa Amini movement. The protests, which began in late December 2025, have spread across the country, […]
From Decapitation to De Facto Trusteeship
The Strategic Logic, Energy Restructuring, and Global Monetary Order Shock of the US Takeover of Venezuela Executive Summary On January 3, Eastern Time, US President Donald Trump announced that US forces had successfully captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife. This surprise operation sent shockwaves through the international community. This report argues that the […]
Thailand Prime Minister Anutin’s Political Calculus
The Thai-Cambodia Conflict, Civil–Military Relations, and the 2026 Election Outlook Executive Summary Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul’s hardline stance during the Thai–Cambodia border conflict in the second half of 2025 reflects a convergence of domestic political motivations, civil–military relations, and electoral considerations, rather than a response driven purely by border security concerns. This assessment concludes that Anutin’s strategy has been […]
Thailand–Cambodia Border Conflict
Political Motives, Economic Stakes, and Great Power Calculations Executive Summary The renewed border confrontation between the Kingdom of Thailand and the Kingdom of Cambodia in the second half of 2025 represents the most serious deterioration in bilateral relations since the 2011 clashes. The escalation not only terminated the fragile ceasefire established under the Kuala Lumpur Peace Accord (KLPA), but also exposed […]
Analysis on Malaysia’s 2025 ASEAN Chairmanship
Executive summary In 2025 Malaysia assumed the ASEAN rotating chair at a geopolitically sensitive moment and delivered a busy, outcome-oriented stewardship that combined diplomatic crisis management, economic integration push-forwards, and symbolic enlargement of the bloc. Malaysia’s chairmanship emphasized “Inclusivity and Sustainability” and advanced three overlapping agendas: (1) conflict de-escalation and political stability; (2) concrete economic […]
Diplomatic Momentum: France Pushes for Trade Reciprocity and Ceasefire Leverage in Beijing
BEIJING, CHINA – December 4, 2025 – Following the initial high-level meetings of President Emmanuel Macron’s state visit to China, the focus has sharpened on the urgent need to address the structural imbalance in Sino-European trade, alongside pressing Beijing for enhanced geopolitical engagement regarding the Ukraine conflict. President Macron, who arrived yesterday with a significant […]
Ukraine Agrees to Core Terms of US-Brokered Peace Proposal to End Four-Year War with Russia
November 30, 2025 – A high-level Ukrainian delegation is traveling to the United States for further talks on the comprehensive 28-point peace proposal brokered by the U.S. to end the nearly four-year-long conflict with Russia. This diplomatic push follows the confirmation from Ukrainian National Security Advisor Rustem Umerov that a “common understanding on the core terms” had been reached […]
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